Predictable Success. Or Not.
I recently read a terrific new book by Les McKeown called Predictable Success. While the title makes McKeown’s book sound like the antithesis of When Growth Stalls, I was amazed by the parallels between his work and mine.
Of the many passages that caught my attention, this one in particular stood out: “Just like any other complex entity, the Predictable Success organization is far from perfect—it will make mistakes, hit roadblocks, and is just as exposed to the impact of external events beyond its control as any other organization. The difference is in how the Predictable Success organization responds to those difficulties.”
I couldn’t agree more with that statement, and two recent announcements in the business press prove the point.
The first is about the incredible second quarter results announced by Whole Foods, where same store sales rose 8.7 percent. That’s a far cry from the company I wrote about back in August that was distracted by its 2007 acquisition of rival Wild Oats and the drawn-out antitrust battle that resulted. In a Wall Street Journal article around that time, Whole Foods’ founder John Mackey was dismayed by how the company had lost its way, saying “We sell a bunch of junk.” It was then Mackey decided to refocus the brand back to its natural foods roots. Less than a year later, here we are talking about the “predictable success” that resulted.
The second is Ford’s recent announcement that it was shuttering for good its 71-year-old Mercury brand. Ford has done a tremendous job under CEO Alan Mulally of sharpening its focus as a company, but was unfortunately unable to resuscitate a brand that had become unfocused since its 1960′s heyday.
In his book McKeown quotes Jack Welch, who said, “The only way to change people’s minds is with consistency.” Whole Foods recognized the error of its inconsistent ways and quickly recovered, while Mercury languished too long in its own and has paid the ultimate price as a result.
Business is a contact sport, and there are many things that can derail a company for good when growth stalls. But as McKeown points out in his book, each of us can increase the odds of attaining “predictable success” if we’ll stay as alert to what’s happening within our organizations as we do to external events.
Thousands of years ago King Solomon said, “Know well the condition of your flocks.” It’s as good advice now as it was then.


